Thursday, October 15, 2015

NFL Week 6 Predictions

NFL Week 6 Predictions

I would have to say Week 5 had to be one of the most competitive weeks of NFL football, in terms of close games. 10/14 games in Week 5 were decided by a TD or less, including three overtime games. My tweet pretty much summed up this week. "good, really competitive games between bad teams." That is just what this weekend was. The 2 best teams in my opinion (Packers and Patriots) took care of business and crushed their opponents. Though the Packers looked sloppy on both sides of the ball i.e. Gurley rushing for over 150 yards and Aaron Rodgers throwing 2 interceptions (he is human apparently) they forced 4 interceptions and finished the game strong. The Patriots looked dominant the whole game and winning was never a doubt.

Monday Night Football's game would also fall into my category of  a "good game between average teams." It was very exciting watching this one and the ending couldn't have been better. What a gutsy call from Mike Tomlin and the Steelers' coaching staff to go for the win in the wildcat formation with Le'Veon Bell as the ball carrier. Especially after missing a 4th down conversion the previous week that attributed to them losing the game.

The NFC East is going to get real tight with the Cowboys losing another game, the Eagles pounding the Saints to get back in the winning column, and the Giants who look like they might steal the division. The winner of this division most certainly will come down to the Week 17 battle between the Eagles at Giants.

My Top Week 6 Games

1. New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts

I believe Andrew Luck will be back for this one, but I don't think that will be enough to stop Tom Brady and the Patriots. Even though the Colts have won 3 straight including 2 straight with back-up QB Matt Hasselbeck, I think their streak will end on Sunday. Indianapolis has the 28th best passing defense and 16th in scoring defense. That is not a good combination when facing the #2 scoring offense in the league and #1 passing team in the league. The Colts defense is in for a long night and I can't see them beating the Patriots with their middle - bottom of the pack offense even with Luck as the starting QB. I'll take the Patriots over the Colts 30-20.

2. New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles

Both teams are coming in with winning streaks and momentum. The Giants looked very good offensively vs San Fran, even though they nearly lost the game. Eli has to be one of the most clutch QB's of our time. It must be a Manning thing. The Giant have the #7 scoring offense and are top 10 in yards per game. Advantage New York for offense. But as for defense, the NY Giants are dead last in passing defense, but 2nd in run defense, which is why their scoring defense is #14 rather than the bottom the pack. The defensive advantage has to go to Philadelphia because they are a little better in total and scoring defense, but not much better. The reason I am going with the Eagles over the Giants is because the Eagles are coming off a blowout win against New Orleans who also has an awful defense. They are also at home and have won they last 2/3, while scoring 20 or more in all 3. I believe Chip Kelly has finally figured out kinks and will get this offense rolling. Eagles over Giants 24-20.

3. Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks

Can the Seahawks get their season turned around by beating undefeated Carolina? I think so. Carolina is undefeated because of a few things. They have a top 10 defense and Carolina leads the league in turnover difference with +8 while Seattle has a -1 . That is incredible considering their losses both offensively and defensively. Though they have this statistic, their offense is #25 in total yards per game, mostly due to their passing yards per game being at 190. Luckily they have top 5 rushing game and they are 6th in scoring. I'm taking Seattle though because of home field advantage and they are 7th in rushing defense. Seahawks over the Panthers 27-17.

4. Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills

These teams defensively are almost identical statistically besides Buffalo having a top 5 running defense, the rest of the categories are almost equal. As for offense though, Cincinnati is Top 10 in yards, passing yards, rushing yards and scoring per game, while Buffalo is in the bottom ten for total yards and passing yards, they are in the top 10 for rushing yards and points per game. I think the Bengals are going stay undefeated and beat the Bills 23-19.

As for the rest of the games, here are my predictions with the score as well.

WEEK AWAY TEAM HOME TEAM MY PICK SCORE
6 Falcons @Saints Falcons 33-23
Redskins @Jets Jets 13-23
Cardinals @Steelers Cardinals 27-20
Chiefs @Vikings Vikings 17-23
Bengals @Bills Bengals 23-19
Bears @Lions Lions 16-20
Broncos @Browns Broncos 30-17
Texans @Jaguars Jags 20-21
Dolphins @Titans Dolphins 17-13
Panthers @Seahawks Seahawks 17-27
Chargers @Packers Packers 17-27
Ravens @49ers 49ers 17-20
Patriots @Colts Patriots 30-20
Giants @Eagles Eagles 20-24

The score represents the order in which they are displayed (Away Team Score-Home Team Score)

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