Wednesday, October 7, 2015

Week 5 Predictions

NFL Week 5 Predictions

Week 4 was good a week for me. I finished 10-5 and got my Bears beating the Raiders prediction correct. I think the 2 biggest shocks were the Giants beating the Bills in Buffalo and the Rams shocking the Cardinals in AZ.

The Dolphins are a complete mess right now. I would say they might be worse off than the 49ers. They just fired their coach and their QB, who is way overpaid, is getting his confidence scared out of him by practice squad players. What a joke! Tannehill is an over-rated, over-paid, QB that can't handle any adversity. (He'll probably see this post and start crying, asking for me to take it off the internet.) Good thing they are on a bye this week to try to get their organization on the right track.

The Seahawks have seemed to find a grove, though they beat a struggling Detroit team on a last minute goal stopping play that could have gone against them. Due to subjectivity of the referee, the call was right. If the ref thought KJ Wright didn't intentionally bat the ball out, he made the correct call based on his judgement. After watching the replay it seemed like Wright did bat it out intentionally, but we can't prove that based on Wright's intent. (Thanks Professor Rick Kunkel of the University of Saint Thomas, B-Law finally paid off). Though the Seahawks' wins are against low quality opponents, they are in position to reclaim the division lead after an AZ loss to the Rams. Unfortunately they go into undefeated Cincinnati, who looks like the second best team in the AFC behind the Patriots. I'm going to take the Bengals over the Hawks 27-21.

For Thursday's match-up between the Colts and Texans, I'm excited to get to watch JJ Watt and Jadeveon Clowney on national TV. Probably not the best week for Andrew Luck to come back, but they absolutely need him. Luckily for the Colts, the Texans' QB situation is so bad, their weak defense won't have too many problems. I like the Colts with Luck over the Texans 23-16.

UPDATE: Via NFL Expert Adam Schefter 
https://twitter.com/AdamSchefter/status/652126817034350592

Andrew Luck being out tonight and Matt Hasselbeck starting, definitely changes the outcome of the game. WIth Luck I had them winning by a TD, with out him, I have them losing by 4. Texans 20- Colts 16.

The Vikings are on a bye, which comes at a good time after a close loss to the undefeated Denver Broncos. The Vikings are looking better and better each game. Despite losing on Sunday, Teddy Bridgewater looked like he can handle the load even when he got sacked 7 times. He showed some serious toughness. The Vikings defense played well, minus the huge Ronnie Hillman TD run and some missed tackles. They forced 2 more picks that kept them in the game until our Achilles Heel offensive line/blocking sunk the ship. This bye week should be focused on the balance of getting AP the ball and when to pass. I feel a big win for Minnesota in Week 6 against the Chiefs at TCF Bank Stadium.



MY TOP GAMES

1. Seahawks at Bengals

This is easily the best game of the week. I already touched on this, so I'll just leave it there.Bengals over the Hawks 27-21.

2. St. Louis Rams at Green Bay Packers

This is the only other game in my opinion worth paying attention to. The Rams are coming off an impressive win over the former undefeated Cardinals in AZ. Their defense can really keep them in most games and it doesn't hurt when Todd Gurley is back and playing like a superstar. Going in to Green Bay won't be easy though. The Pack don't lose in Green Bay and Rodgers doesn't throw interceptions. Advantage GB. I think Gurley will get a wake up call from Clay Matthews and not be nearly as effective as he was last week. Green Bay wins 27-18.


WEEK AWAY TEAM HOME TEAM MY PICK
5 Colts @Texans Texans (Luck Out)
Bears @Chiefs Chiefs
Seahawks @Bengals Bengals
Redskins @Falcons Falcons
Jaguars @Buccaneers Buccaneers
Saints @Eagles Eagles
Browns @Ravens Ravens
Rams @Packers Packers
Bills @Titans Bills
Cardinals @Lions Cardinals
Patriots @Cowboys Patriots
Broncos @Raiders Broncos
49ers @Giants Giants
Steelers @Chargers Chargers


Follow me on twitter @jpsweets and @basketballguy61

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