Wednesday, September 9, 2015

2015-2016 NFL SEASON PREVIEW AND PREDICTIONS

NFC EAST:

The NFC East is a 2 team race again this year. The Cowboys and Eagles will be neck and neck to win the division. With DeMarco Murray changing teams and Chip Kelley moving players left and right the Eagles are a project everybody has their eyes on. If Bradford can stay healthy and play close to how he did in pre-season, I think this is the year the Eagles finally make a legitimate playoff run and not get the door shut on them.

Though I like the Giants’ receiving core of Cruz and OBJ, there is something about them that doesn’t give me a good feeling that they will have good year. Average at best is my prediction for them.

The Redskins are as one analyst said “the Kardashians of the NFL.” This is spot on. This team is so dysfunctional. They will at best win 5 games and will be looking for a new QB to draft next year after they ship RG3, which is sad considering all the talent they have at skill positions.

NFC SOUTH:

This division can’t be much worse than they were last year. My guess is that the Panthers and Saints will duke it out again for the division crown, but both teams lost their best offensive threats before the regular season even started. The Saints sent Jimmy Graham to the Seahawks and the Panthers just lost Kelvin Benjamin to an ACL tear. This is hard to pick a winner because the Panthers can play defense, but their offense is so sad it hurts to think about their options besides the Cam Newton triple-option like he’s at Auburn still. I want to see somebody from this division emerge as the leader, I just don’t see it.

The Falcons will be the sleeper of the division. They have a really good, high scoring potential offense. With Julio Jones getting an extension this off season, I expect him to even be better than he was in the past. Hiring Dan Quinn from the Seahawks wasn’t a bad move either. Keep your eye on them and don’t be surprised if they are competing for the division title in week 17.

As for the Bucs, it will be interesting to watch the progression of Jameis Winston. I personally watched him play this pre-season in a game against the Minnesota Vikings. To his credit it was his first pre-season game, but it was not pretty. He looked like a rookie QB in his first game. He made some good scrambles including a TD rush and a good end of the half drive, but other than that, he has a lot of work to do. I want him to do well and be a star in a few years, but I don’t see it and the lack of a defense is not going to help his confidence.

NFC NORTH:

This division belongs to the Green Bay Packers, but don’t count out 2 of the other teams for a wild card spot. I think it’s the consensus that the Packers are going to win this division unless Aaron Rodgers has a catastrophic injury. Even with Jordy Nelson being out for the season, the Packer’s offensive system is very versatile, allowing new players to step up and become known. They also have a legitimate running back, which they have been missing for some time now.

With the Packers winning the division, 2 other teams will be very competitive within the division. The Lions have been on the cusps of beating the Packers for a while now, but can’t get over the hump. I could see them taking one at Ford Field to give Green Bay fans a scare.

My sleeper to grab a wild card spot is the Minnesota Vikings. This team is doing everything right to keep progressing and get closer to a championship. They finally found their franchise QB in Teddy Bridgewater. AP is back. They have a hard-nosed coach that won’t deal with non-sense and a young defense that continues to get faster and better. This team has looked great and can compete with any team in the league. Yes, competing and winning are two different things, but going into season 2 with coach Zimmer, the Vikings are a scary team to play against. They are underrated with low expectations, but have the ability to win some games and grab a wild card spot.

The Bears, much like the Redskins, are in a bad spot. Hiring John Fox is not going to solve their problems. Cutting 2 proven defensive players (Tim Jennings and Ray McDonald) isn’t going help improve an already abysmal defense. I think the Bears should cut their losses, start focusing on next year’s draft and reboot the roster. They will win 4-5 games at best.

NFC WEST:

Much like the NFC North, the Seahawks own this division. They are loaded all over the field and got an upgrade to their passing game acquiring Jimmy Graham from the Saints this off-season. The rich get richer. Like the NFC North, this division will be very competitive with 2 other teams competing with each other to get 2nd place in the division and a possible wild card playoff spot. Arizona Cardinals were last year’s surprised, but this season they are on everybody’s radar and won’t be taken lightly. They still have a top 10 defense and with a healthy Carson Palmer, they could hit the 10 win mark to grab a wild card spot. Chris Johnson was a good addition as well, but he isn’t the Chris Johnson of 2009, let’s just remember that before we give him the benefit of doubt.

The St. Louis Rams are much like the Vikings. Acquiring Nick Foles for Sam Bradford was like free bacon for them. They also have a top 10 defense, which is why they can stay in most games and ended up beating the Seahawks last year.  I’m very interested in how Todd Gurley is going to pan out. I believe he is better and will do better than Melvin Gordon, but it’s always hard to come back from a major knee surgery, unless of course you are Adrian Peterson, but he’s a football demi-good.

Poor 49ers. Ever since the 2013 Super Bowl loss and 2014 NFC Championship loss, the 49ers have gone spiraling in to a black hole and this off-season made it worse. They lost their head coach, a majority of their defense, and their QB regressed after giving Kaepernick a huge contract extension. Their situation is one of the worst in the entire league. With Willis and Borland retiring due to health issues, it seemed that other players lost interest and decided to do whatever they wanted.

Not much will change among the top of the NFC, but look for some upcoming teams to make a post season bid.

AFC EAST:

Could this be the year the Patriots get knocked off their throne in the AFC East? PENDING Tom Brady’s suspension ruling, the Patriots are in serious threat of starting the season down 1-3. IF no TB12, the Patriots will have 2 very tough games to start the season against the Pittsburgh Steelers and the redefined, defensive minded, Rex Ryan led Bills in week 2. They catch a break hosting the miserable Jaguars, but then head to Dallas after a bye week. If the Tom Brady’s suspension holds up, the Patriots are going to have some digging to get back on top. The benefit for them is that even starting down 1-3 or 2-2, they can win the division without a doubt, resulting in hosting a playoff game in Foxborough, where they are nearly unbeatable.

The Bills will be drawing a lot of eyes towards them this year. After a very successful defensive campaign last season, the Bills have continued right where they left off and picked up a treasure in Shady McCoy. Though they picked up McCoy and have Sammy Watkins, the Bills still are searching for a true starting QB. As of now (9/1/2015) the Bills have named Tyrod Taylor their starting QB. (WHO?) The Michael Vick like, Virginia Tech, dual threat QB, whom was drafted in the 6th round and has never started an NFL game. That Tyrod Taylor. Don’t get me wrong, the guy was awesome in college, but that obviously hasn’t transitioned into the NFL. The Bills brought in Matt Cassel to play QB and he can’t even beat out Taylor or EJ Manuel, who is my personal favorite, but obviously hasn’t made the jump to be an NFL staring QB yet. The QB position will be their Achilles heel all season, which will cost them a few games, say when they need to beat the Patriots in Foxborough week 11.

It seems like all the attention in this division has been on everybody except the Dolphins. The Dolphins made a huge splash signing Ndamaukong Suh to add to their defense. He is a top 5 player and probably the second best defensive player behind JJ Watt. He is going to upgrade an already decent Miami defense and get them closer to capturing a division title. Though no easy task knocking off the Patriots, the Dolphins have a legitimate chance of stepping up to the occasion and being crowned AFC East champs. I’ll wait to see it before I believe it though.

As for the Jets, at least they got Revis back. Signing Brandon Marshall was a good move too, but with Geno Smith their top QB, their offense will seriously struggle. Geno getting sucker punched and breaking his jaw is the epitome of the NY Jets. That sucker punch might be a blessing in disguised because now the Jets will be starting Ryan Fitzpatrick, who is the smartest QB in the league off the field, but not so much on the field. They also have the Alex Moran (Blue Mountain State reference) of the NFL with Matt Flynn in their back pocket. If it was up to me, I would have none of the above play and start Baylor sensation Bryce Petty, hopefully finding a QB for the future and not a back-up stand in while the Jets endure another painful season of losing.

UPDATE: this review was written on 9/1/2015, as of 9/3/2015 Tom Brady’s suspension was dropped. With Brady back, the Patriots have a very good chance at starting 4-0, starting with a win in Foxborough on Thursday to kick off the NFL season. Though Buffalo will be tough to be in Buffalo, the Patriots will be able to come through with a win. After a breeze against the Jaguars, they will face a true test against a playoff bound Dallas Cowboys at Dallas. No easy feat, but I have confidence that they can beat them.

AFC SOUTH:

The Colts are my pick to represent the AFC in this season’s Super Bowl. They added key guys to help solidify their run to the Super Bowl. They signed Andre Johnson and Frank Gore. 2 proven stars of the league, that have a just enough gas in them to make one more run at a championship. This is exactly what the Colts need. Andre Johnson will easily replace Reggie Wayne, barring an injury, and Frank Gore is always good to replace a non-existent running game. Their defense got help with the signing of Trent Cole, which will possibly get them over the Patriots hump from last year. Luck is the real deal and is a Super Bowl victory away from being the face of the NFL. My guess is that he will knock off both legends (Tom Brady and Peyton Manning) this season to reach the Super Bowl.

Yes, the Colts pretty much have the division locked up, but that won’t come without some battles from the second best team in the division, the Houston Texans. The Texans are featured on this year’s HBO Hard Knocks series. The Texans look hungry after taking a step back last year, due to QB issues, injuries, and other minor problems. This year, we will finally get to see the 2014 #1 pick Jadeveon Clowney play opposite of the best defensive player in the league, JJ Watt. Their defense looks promising, it’s their offense that scares me. Between Arian Foster hurting his groin and not having a solid starting QB, the Texans are going need some help on that side. I hope JJ Watt can accumulate a few pick-6s, return a few strip-sacks, and maybe even play some tight end. O wait, he did do all that. The guy is literally unstoppable and will do everything he can to help his team win. Unfortunately, even that is not enough to get the Texans to the playoffs.

I probably shouldn’t skip over the #2 pick, but the Tennessee Titans are in for another long year of rebuilding. I hope and believe Marcus Mariota is going to turn into a much more complete QB than Jameis Winston. He has looked and played better this pre-season, but with the team and talent he has, they will be lucky to win more than 4 games. Maybe next year they will get game changing defensive player. The same goes for Jacksonville. They seem to have found their franchise QB in Blake Bortles, but can’t find anyone else around him considering Justin Blackmon is M.I.A. and Julius Thomas has to sit out due to injury. I hope for the franchises sake they can grab a top pick again next year and finally get out of the gutter.

AFC NORTH:

The AFC North is always one of the most competitive divisions in the entire league and this year is no exception. The Ravens and Steelers will likely battle for the crown while the other will have to settle for a wild card spot. Did I forget the Bengals? Yes, this is the year their playoff streak ends and they save themselves the misery of getting bounced in the first round. The Steelers seem to be just an inch ahead of the Ravens due to the Ravens letting go of some key defensive players, Haloti Ngata and Pernell McPhee. They also lost their best offensive threat in Torrey Smith to the 49ers. As they have for so long, their defense can keep them in low scoring games. Which is why I think the Steelers have the advantage over them due to their potent offense and tough defense.

The down fall to the Steelers is that 2 of their stars will start the season suspended (Le’Veon Bell and Martavis Bryant) and the health of Ben Roethlisberger is always an issue. Luckily for them when they open against the Patriots, they most likely won’t have to face Tom Brady as QB. That game is going to mean a lot to that team if they can win and should win.

The Browns are still the laughing stock of this division and will be for a while. Maybe Johnny Manziel will figure it out this season. He already dropped the $ sign so maybe he is maturing. The Browns are in for another tough year. I will give them some credit for who they drafted. Danny Shelton will be a stud, Duke Johnson is a steal if he pans out, and drafting Ifo Ekpre-Olom could be the best reward of all their picks.

AFC WEST:

I’m not going to chalk up the Broncos too fast to win the division. They are going to have to earn it from the Kansas City Chiefs and San Diego Chargers. I do think the Broncos will win the division, but it won’t be as easy as the past. Peyton Manning is aging more and more. He is losing it. They also have a new head coach, Gary Kubiak. They still have a very talented offense and defense, but so do the Chiefs. My bet is that KC and Denver will split their series.

As for the Chargers, I think they will be the Charges as we have come to know. They start hot, then lose some games, then get hot again. Their inconsistency kills them. I imagine them being competitive as they usually are, but that doesn’t mean winning a division title. I can’t wait to see if Melvin Gordon will live up to the hype.

The Black Hole, aka The Oakland Raiders Stadium is exactly that for players and coaches careers. A black hole for careers to die. See ya later Christian Ponder and Trent Richardson. That has to be the saddest place in football right now. Sending the “get well soon” card as we speak.

NFC Playoffs
1. Seattle Seahawks
2. Green Bay Packers
3. Philadelphia Eagles
4. Carolina Panthers
5. Dallas Cowboys
6. Minnesota Vikings

AFC Playoffs
1. Indianapolis Colts
2. Denver Broncos
3. New England Patriots
4. Pittsburgh Steelers
5. Baltimore Ravens
6. Kansas City Chiefs

Wild Card Playoff
Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings
Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys
New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Divisional Round
NFC
#1. Seattle Seahawks vs #5. Dallas Cowboys
#2. Green Bay Packers vs #3. Philadelphia Eagles

AFC
#1. Indianapolis Colts vs #5. Baltimore Ravens
#2. Denver Broncos vs #3. New England Patriots

NFC Championship
Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers
AFC Championship
New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

SUPER BOWL
Indianapolis Colts vs Green Bay Packers

SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS
GREEN BAY PACKERS

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