Thursday, October 1, 2015

Week 4 Predictions

Week 4 Predictions


AWAY TEAM HOME TEAM MY PICK
Ravens @Steelers Ravens
Jets @Dolphins Dolphins
Jaguars @Colts Colts
Giants @Bills Bills
Panthers @Buccaneers Panthers
Eagles @Redskins Eagles
Raiders @Bears Bears
Texans @Falcons Falcons
Chiefs @Bengals Bengals
Browns @Chargers Chargers
Packers @49ers Packers
Rams @Cardinals Cardinals
Vikings @Broncos Broncos
Cowboys @Saints Cowboys
Lions @Seahawks Seahawks


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Monday, September 28, 2015

Week 3 Recap

Week 3 Recap

Week 3 seemed to have a lot more chalk wins than Week 2 where I didn't even get half of my picks right. As of now I am 10-5, with my 5 losses in games that were close and could have gone either way. The loss I'm actually fine with was the Eagles beating the Jets. This has to be a huge relief to the Eagles organization.I honestly thought they were going to start 0-3 and rethink their whole season. With Romo being out for awhile the Eagles will be able to catch up and get back in the driver's seat of their division.

The biggest surprise has to be the Atlanta Falcons. They are 3-0 under new head coach Dan Quinn and they have a legitimate chance at hosting a playoff game at the end of the season. Now Carolina is undefeated as well, but the Falcons look hot. I did say I wouldn't be surprised if they were playing for the division title at the end of the year, but I didn't think they would start this hot. I still believe Carolina will out grind them for the division crown, but they are getting everybody's attention.

The Arizona Cardinals being 3-0 is impressive, but not as impressive as the Falcons due to the competition they have faced. They have beat the Saints, Bears, and the 49ers, who are combined 1-8. Those 3 teams might be in the race for the #1 pick as I can't see any of them winning more than 5 games. The Saints might lose every game until they play the Titans. The Bears might lose every game until they face another horrible team, the 49ers in Week 13. The battle of the losers. Both teams at that point might try lose so they have the advantage getting the #1 pick. Back to the Cardinals, they might take the NFC West now that Seattle started down 0-2, now 1-2 after dismantling the Bears. I believe the Cardinals will start losing some games further into the season and we have to watch the health of Carson Palmer. He may be the biggest factor in the success of this team. I believe the Cardinals have won 9 straight games with him as the starting QB.

Like I said in my season preview "the health of Ben Roethlisberger is always an issue." Here we are in Week 3 and Big Ben goes out for 4-6 weeks with a knee sprain. This is going to seriously hinder the Steelers' season. With Roethlisberger, they looked like they might take the title of the division. Now they will be lucky to make the playoffs, depending on when Roethlisberger returns. This may be the Raven's chance to get back into the division race after losing a 4th quarter lead at home to the Bengals who are now 3-0 and look like the second best team in the AFC behind the Patriots. I wouldn't be surprised if the Ravens get their first win on Thursday in Pittsburgh.

Undefeated Teams Winless Teams
Patriots Ravens
Bengals Bears
Broncos Lions
Cardinals Saints
Panthers
Falcons
Packers

Of the undefeated teams, the New England Patriots look unstoppable right now and look like they will be going back to the Super Bowl. We will have to wait to see if the Packers can stay undefeated, which I believe they will after their match up with the Chiefs tonight. The Panthers are looking well and I think they will win the division over the also undefeated Falcons.

Of the winless teams, the Ravens have to be the biggest surprise to this list. They aren't getting too much sympathy though, at least from Patriots president Jonathan Kraft who said "It's too bad about Baltimore, isn't it? It's really too bad." Haha, this is great from a guy who is president of the best team in football. There's no bad blood between these 2 organizations...

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Thursday, September 24, 2015

NFL Week 3 Predictions

NFL Week 3 Predictions

Thursday night we start Week 3 off with the bottom feeders of the NFC East, a match-up between the NY Giants and Washington Redskins. To the Redskins credit, they did beat the St. Louis Rams last week, so they may have some momentum coming into tonight's game. Meanwhile the Giants are being the Giants and blowing double digit leads in consecutive games. LOL. What is even more funny, is that I'm choosing the Giants to win this game. Jokes on me, if they lose.

My Top Week 3 Games

1. Kansas City Chiefs at Green Bay Packers

To me, this is easily the best game of the week. Too bad we have to wait until Monday Night Football for this showdown. The Chiefs need to rebound after that awful collapse in KC last Thursday against the Broncos. The Packers didn't look great against Seattle, but found a way to win and that's all that matters. The Packers are at home again, so I will take the Packers 31-23 over the Chiefs.

2. Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens

The Bengals are looking like the best team in the AFC North right now and they are. 2-0 with quality wins, over the Raiders and Chargers. They look as if they might make the playoffs again and finally get past the first round. I wouldn't speak too soon. They have a long season ahead of them and a battle this week in Baltimore. I think this is the week Baltimore gets it together and finishes a game. I'll take the Ravens over the Bengals 23-20.

3. San Diego Chargers at Minnesota Vikings

This is going be a true test for the Vikings defense. The Chargers are what I think, a better version of the Lions. They have a powerful offense that can score and rack up yards. If the Vikings play like they did last week against Detroit, I think they will do just fine. I expect them to do even better than last week, but we will have to see how they come out. Vikings beat the Chargers 31-27.

A few games that are toss ups and have earned some recognition from me are:

Falcons at Cowboys because of the Romo injury I can't say the Cowboys will for sure win this game. Also the Falcons have been playing well and are 2-0. 

Colts at Titans: Hopefully Luck and the Colts get win this one or else they are doomed.

Raiders at Browns: Both teams are coming off solid wins, so I expect this one to be a good battle between upcoming, but not playoff bound teams,

Eagles at Jets: Sadly, I think the Eagles are going to fall to 0-3 after this game. NY looks good on defense and the Eagles are a mess.

Steelers at Rams could be a really good game due to the high powered offense of Pittsburgh against the hard nosed defense of St. Louis. Plus the Rams are very tough to beat in St. Louis. I'll still take the Steelers.


WEEK AWAY TEAM HOME TEAM MY PICK
3 Redskins @Giants Giants
Falcons @Cowboys Cowboys
Colts @Titans Colts
Raiders @Browns Browns
Bengals @Ravens Ravens
Jaguars @Patriots Patriots
Saints @Panthers Panthers
Eagles @Jets Jets
Buccaneers @Texans Texans
Chargers @Vikings Vikings
Steelers @Rams Steelers
49ers @Cardinals Cardinals
Bills @Dolphins Dolphins
Bears @Seahawks Seahawks
Broncos @Lions Broncos
Chiefs @Packers Packers

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Monday, September 21, 2015

Week 2 Recap

Week 2 Recap and Thoughts

Of the 5 games I was able to watch because like petite Randy Moss, I have cable, my home team Vikings game and the Thursday night game were the most entertaining.

I think we can all agree, Sunday's Vikings played how we all thought they would play against the 49ers last week. Teddy looked great, our defense was stellar, and most of all AP was AP and the Vikings got him the ball like they should have in week 1. Sadly, AP never got into the endzone, making fantasy owners cry, but they can't be too sad considering he ran for 134 yards and caught and ran for another 58 yards, totaling for 192 all purpose yards. It felt great getting the win column and get on the right track towards making it to the playoffs. Besides AP's fumbles he played pretty flawless. I believe the Viking's offense has found their recipe for success. On the other side of the ball, the defense did well. Getting a sack and forcing a few turnovers is exactly what they are capable of each week. I need to give credit to Xavier Rhodes. He did a heck of a job on Calvin Johnson. Johnson caught 10 passes for 83 yards and had 1 touchdown. He was targeted 17 times. Rhodes held Johnson way below what he is capable of doing and for that, he earned a lot of respect.

The Thursday night game may have been the best, most dramatic game of the season thus far. I gave the Broncos a chance to tie it up and send it into overtime, but to win and take the lead with under 2 minutes was incredible, Denver has grinded out 2 gutsy wins, which has to make them confident they can play better than they have and start dominating some games.

The Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys game was a snooze fest. I nearly fell asleep this game was so boring. I'm very fearful for the Eagles after this loss. They had less than 20 yards rushing and their offense was non-existent. I thought Chip Kelly's offense was unstoppable... So far this season it has been a dud. I don't think the Eagles will even make the playoffs after watching their last 2 games. The Cowboys won the tough game with tough defense. Unfortunately they lost Romo for at least 8 weeks and are now without their 2 best players, and have Brandon Weeden as their starting QB. Yikes!

Staying in the NFC East, the Giants blew another double digit 4th quarter lead and are quickly becoming a joke. I can't say I didn't see their season being a disaster from the beginning, but who knows, maybe they will make the playoffs at 9-7 and make a Super Bowl run like the past. Also, the Redskins beat the Rams, who had just beat the Seahawks. Who would have thunk it??

A few very bad losses around that league that surprised me and probably surprised the teams that loss. 
Jaguars beat the Dolphins, Raiders beat the Ravens, and Tampa beat the Saints in the Super Dome.

Been a weird start to the 2015 season and that's why games are played on the field and not on paper.

Last night's Sunday Night Football game between the Packers and Seahawks may have been a preview of the NFC Championship. Even though the Seahawks lost this game, there is no doubt they will bounce back and win their division. They have their first home game against the struggling Bears which will boast their confidence and get them on the winning track. The Rams losing to the Redskins and the 49ers getting thrashed by Pittsburgh, should in no way hurt their confidence in starting down 0-2. Their biggest competition will be Arizona who looked very good vs a weak Chicago Bears team that allowed 48 points. The Cardinals are now 2-0 and have 2 straigh home divisional games. Depending on how those games go ( I predict 2 wins) the Cardinals will have a 4-0 record compared to the Seahawks who will be 2-2 after beating two NFC North teams, Detroit and Chicago. I think the division winner will all be decided on week 17 when the Cardinals and Seahawks face off in AZ.

Tonight's Monday Night Football game is a big one for both teams. The Jets got a big Week 1 win to give them confidence they can win tonight. The Colts need to win this after getting pounded by Buffalo last week. This one will be a good one, that comes down to the wire. I'll take the Colts 27-19.

As for my predictions, I did not do so well. A lot of upsets happened in my opinion and the toss up games didn't go my way. Pending tonight's game I was 7-8, so hopefully I can break-even with an Indianapolis win tonight.


WEEK AWAY TEAM HOME TEAM MY PICK WINNER
2 Broncos @Chiefs CHIEFS BRONCOS
Texans @Panthers PANTHERS PANTHERS
49ers @Steelers STEELERS STEELERS
Buccaneers @Saints SAINTS BUCCANEERS
Lions @Vikings VIKINGS VIKINGS
Cardinals @Bears CARDINALS CARDINALS
Patriots @Bills PATRIOTS PATRIOTS
Chargers @Bengals BENGALS BENGALS
Titans @Browns TITANS BROWNS
Falcons @Giants GIANTS FALCONS
Rams @Redskins RAMS REDSKINS
Dolphins @Jaguars DOLPHINS JAGS
Ravens @Raiders RAVENS RAIDERS
Cowboys @Eagles EAGLES COWBOYS
Seahawks @Packers PACKERS PACKERS
Jets @Colts COLTS COLTS

Yellow = right     Red = wrong

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Thursday, September 17, 2015

NFL Week 2 Predictions

I went 11-5 in my Week 1 picks. Both my Monday Night Football picks went horribly wrong, starting with the Eagles not showing up in the first half and later not finishing the game. Next, my Vikings played like absolute garbage that nobody could have predicted. 10 total rushes for Adrian Peterson. How is only 10 rushes for AP in your game plan? I don't get it. The game was extremely sloppy by both teams, but at least the 49ers figured out how to score and run the ball with Carlos Hyde, who rushed for 168 yards and leads the NFL in rushing yards. Yikes Vikings defense.

The Rams and Bills were the biggest stunners to my predictions. Both playing up to much superior teams and using great defense to stop powerful offenses. The Chargers-Lions game was a toss-up and the home team won the battle, due to major let down by the Lions who were up by 18 at one point. "Go Chargers!" (Arnold Schwarzenegger voice)

My Top Week 2 Games

1. Seahawks at Packers

Week 2 features a rematch from last season's NFC Championship between the Packers and Seahawks. This most certainly will be the game of the week. I know it's just one loss, but the possibility of starting down 0-2 is a reality after this game finishes for the Seahawks. On the road again and at Lambeau, where Rodgers doesn't lose nor throw any interceptions. The Seahawks are facing an uphill climb, I'll take the Packers 34-23.

2. Cowboys at Eagles

Another NFC East showdown, but this one is between the top 2 teams in the division rather than the NY Giants, who were finish 3rd in my opinion. This will be a true test for both teams, so that everybody can see how well the Eagles really stack up against the Cowboys. Yes, it is only Week 2, but this game has very serious playoff implications and you can guaranteed this will feel like a playoff atmosphere in the Eagles home opener. Both teams struggled and looked sloppy in their first week, so hopefully this game will be a little cleaner from both teams. My analysis is that the Cowboys looked more polished than the Eagles, but I think the Eagles got some kinks out in their first game and will play much better in Week 2. Let's go with the Eagles over the Cowboys, 36-30.

3. Patriots at Bills

The first intra-division game for the AFC East. Buffalo coming in hot off a smothering defensive performance against the Colts and the Patriots coming in after the NFL opener win against the Steelers. Both teams playing good and hungry to win the AFC East. This won't be a cakewalk like the past when the Bills and Patriots play. This will be a low scoring, very strategic game, where the smallest mistakes could result in major consequences. With the return of LaGarrette Blunt, I expect the Patriots to do a lot more ground and pound compared to the first game, where they were at about a 40/60% run-pass equation. I expect them to be closer to 60/40% run to pass, unless the Patriots are down in the 4th quarter. My gut is telling me Patriots beat the Bills 23-16.

4. Broncos at Chiefs 

Another divisional game makes my list, surprise, surprise. Divisional games are the best and seem like they have more at stake, I think the Broncos better come to play for this Thursday night game or they might get blown out of Arrowhead Stadium by the Chiefs. The Chiefs played pretty good against a QB-less Houston Texans team and they were able to put some point son the board from their offense. Though still not a WR catch for a TD, the Chiefs were able to utilize their TEs and RBs in the passing game. The Broncos on the other hand looked horrible on offense. Peyton better get back into a rhythm or he might be in for a long night from Justin Houston and the Chiefs defense. I'll take the Chiefs over the Broncos, 27-20.

5. Honorable Mention: Lions at Vikings

This game makes the list because all of my friends will care about this game more than the rest. Both teams suffered horrendous Week 1 losses. The Lions up 18 on road, in the second half. Doesn't get much worse than that, unless you watched the Viks like me and the rest of Minnesota. We went to bed thinking "I stayed up for that?" (Very rough Tuesday morning) We made it through Tuesday and now we look forward to Sunday's match-up, but honestly it feels like all the air and excitement around the Vikings literally disappeared after one lousy loss. An optimistic fan would say: "it's just one game, they had to get the kinks out. We will be fine. Teddy and AP will tear it up next game." The pessimistic fan is saying: "Let's remember, it's the Vikings we are talking about. Could you really expected them to live up to the hype? Of course not." I myself am with the optimistic fan, but that Game really crushed the fans. I'll say the Vikings bounce back and beat the Lions 37-30.



WEEK AWAY TEAM HOME TEAM MY PICK
2 Broncos @Chiefs CHIEFS
Texans @Panthers PANTHERS
49ers @Steelers STEELERS
Buccaneers @Saints SAINTS
Lions @Vikings VIKINGS
Cardinals @Bears CARDINALS
Patriots @Bills PATRIOTS
Chargers @Bengals BENGALS
Titans @Browns TITANS
Falcons @Giants GIANTS
Rams @Redskins RAMS
Dolphins @Jaguars DOLPHINS
Ravens @Raiders RAVENS
Cowboys @Eagles EAGLES
Seahawks @Packers PACKERS
Jets @Colts COLTS

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Monday, September 14, 2015

NFL Week 1 Takeaways

The AFC East went 4-0 this week, with dominating wins from the Jets over the Browns and the Bills over the Colts. That was a huge surprise to me because I thought the Colts were going to be nearly unstoppable on offense. The Bills shut them down with a near perfect 1st half of defense.

The heavy weight fight between the Ravens and Broncos was brutal to watch. In a way the defensive coordinators must be happy for both teams, but the offenses looked horrific. Not a single offensive touchdown from either team, from 2 of the top teams in the league. Add insult to injury: Terrell Suggs is out for the season with a torn Achilles. Ouch!

Staying within the AFC West division, the KC Chiefs looked like a top 10 team after smashing the Texans in the first half, but let them get close in the second half. Like I said in my preview, the Broncos are going to have their handful with the Chiefs and even the surprising Chargers. The Chargers beat the lions in a back and forth game. The big loser in this division are the Oakland Raiders, who got absolutely crushed by Cincinnati and star QB David Carr took a shot.

The biggest surprise in the AFC and maybe NFL are the Tennessee Titans, more specifically Marcus Mariota. 4 TDs, and a perfect passer rating. Not only did he look good, he made Jameis Winston and the Bucs look like they made the wrong choice drafting Winston over Mariota. What else is surprising, is that the Titans are in first place in their division, thanks to the Colts getting derailed by the Bills, the Texans losing to the Chiefs, and the Jaguars being the Jags by losing to the Panthers. Playoffs in Nashville?

In the NFC, there were some great divisional match-ups including the Seahawks and Rams. This game means so much to the Rams, though they beat them last year as well, this game will give the Rams the confidence they need to be a playoff contender they believe they are. As for the Seahawks, I don’t think it’s anything to panic about, but giving up 34 points to the Rams has got to be eye-opening. Maybe pay Kam Chancellor because next week they play the Packers in Green Bay. Can you say 0-2?

Speaking of the Packers and divisional match-ups, the Packers beat the Bears in Green Bay – Chicago fashion. By that I mean, Green Bay winning and Jay Cutler throwing a costly interception. You can’t make this stuff up, it happens every time these two play each other.

The Cardinals got a great welcome back performance from Carson Palmer as he threw 3 TDs and defeated the New Orleans Saints with a dominant 4th quarter. A week 1 win is a nice way for the Cardinals to get a game lead on the Seahawks.

To cap off Opening Sunday, we got the privilege to watch an NFC East showdown in the NY Giants and the highly praised Cowboys. Everything that could go wrong, did go wrong for the Cowboys in the first half, including some crazy fumbles and interceptions that led to points for the Giants and left Cowboys scratching their heads. The second half was very different. The Giants couldn’t move the ball and the Cowboys were clicking. Even with the lead the Giants were unable to secure the win due to some terrible clock management and defense allowing the Cowboys to drive down the field and score a TD with 7 seconds left. De-ja-vu to Desean Jackson’s punt return a few years ago. The consistency with this team is out of this world. Though the Cowboys got the win, they lost their star wide-out, Dez Bryant with a broken foot. That broken foot didn’t stop him from celebrating his team winning though.
Image result for mnf

On to Monday Night. We the fans get blessed with 2 MNF games. The first between the Eagles and Falcons and the second featuring the Minnesota Vikings and San Francisco 49ers. Unfortunately these aren’t the greatest games to show, but they do feature some interesting storylines. Everyone is excited to see the Chip Kelly science experiment, starting with Sam Bradford and how he will rebound from his 2 terrible knee injuries that have put him on the list of potential biggest bust. I think he will be a star, but we will have wait to find out. On the other side of the ball is the Atlanta Falcons, who have a new coach with a defensive background, which is what Atlanta most certainly needed after last year. I could see this game being a shootout between 2 high flying offenses. My advantage would have to go with Philadelphia, but I wouldn't be surprised to see this one come down to the wire. Philadelphia by 8 is my prediction.

The final game of week one stars my hometown Vikings against my once beloved 49ers, due to my love for the former 49er great, Patty Willis. Unfortunately this game starts at 9:20 CST, so half of us aren't evening going to be able to finish the game because we have to wake up for work, but too the die-hards this is nice preview of what our Vikings are going to be about this season. The Vikings should in no way lose this game to a 49ers team that is legitimately in free fall and turmoil. The organization had such a tough off-season, I don’t how they will even compete this season. With that being said, the Vikings need to pound them into the ground early with Adrian Peterson, who side note, will be running like an angry mad men, that wants to show the league he still has it. I can’t wait for all the puzzle pieces to fit for the Vikings tonight. Vikings win easily by 10, 30-20.



Wednesday, September 9, 2015

2015-2016 NFL SEASON PREVIEW AND PREDICTIONS

NFC EAST:

The NFC East is a 2 team race again this year. The Cowboys and Eagles will be neck and neck to win the division. With DeMarco Murray changing teams and Chip Kelley moving players left and right the Eagles are a project everybody has their eyes on. If Bradford can stay healthy and play close to how he did in pre-season, I think this is the year the Eagles finally make a legitimate playoff run and not get the door shut on them.

Though I like the Giants’ receiving core of Cruz and OBJ, there is something about them that doesn’t give me a good feeling that they will have good year. Average at best is my prediction for them.

The Redskins are as one analyst said “the Kardashians of the NFL.” This is spot on. This team is so dysfunctional. They will at best win 5 games and will be looking for a new QB to draft next year after they ship RG3, which is sad considering all the talent they have at skill positions.

NFC SOUTH:

This division can’t be much worse than they were last year. My guess is that the Panthers and Saints will duke it out again for the division crown, but both teams lost their best offensive threats before the regular season even started. The Saints sent Jimmy Graham to the Seahawks and the Panthers just lost Kelvin Benjamin to an ACL tear. This is hard to pick a winner because the Panthers can play defense, but their offense is so sad it hurts to think about their options besides the Cam Newton triple-option like he’s at Auburn still. I want to see somebody from this division emerge as the leader, I just don’t see it.

The Falcons will be the sleeper of the division. They have a really good, high scoring potential offense. With Julio Jones getting an extension this off season, I expect him to even be better than he was in the past. Hiring Dan Quinn from the Seahawks wasn’t a bad move either. Keep your eye on them and don’t be surprised if they are competing for the division title in week 17.

As for the Bucs, it will be interesting to watch the progression of Jameis Winston. I personally watched him play this pre-season in a game against the Minnesota Vikings. To his credit it was his first pre-season game, but it was not pretty. He looked like a rookie QB in his first game. He made some good scrambles including a TD rush and a good end of the half drive, but other than that, he has a lot of work to do. I want him to do well and be a star in a few years, but I don’t see it and the lack of a defense is not going to help his confidence.

NFC NORTH:

This division belongs to the Green Bay Packers, but don’t count out 2 of the other teams for a wild card spot. I think it’s the consensus that the Packers are going to win this division unless Aaron Rodgers has a catastrophic injury. Even with Jordy Nelson being out for the season, the Packer’s offensive system is very versatile, allowing new players to step up and become known. They also have a legitimate running back, which they have been missing for some time now.

With the Packers winning the division, 2 other teams will be very competitive within the division. The Lions have been on the cusps of beating the Packers for a while now, but can’t get over the hump. I could see them taking one at Ford Field to give Green Bay fans a scare.

My sleeper to grab a wild card spot is the Minnesota Vikings. This team is doing everything right to keep progressing and get closer to a championship. They finally found their franchise QB in Teddy Bridgewater. AP is back. They have a hard-nosed coach that won’t deal with non-sense and a young defense that continues to get faster and better. This team has looked great and can compete with any team in the league. Yes, competing and winning are two different things, but going into season 2 with coach Zimmer, the Vikings are a scary team to play against. They are underrated with low expectations, but have the ability to win some games and grab a wild card spot.

The Bears, much like the Redskins, are in a bad spot. Hiring John Fox is not going to solve their problems. Cutting 2 proven defensive players (Tim Jennings and Ray McDonald) isn’t going help improve an already abysmal defense. I think the Bears should cut their losses, start focusing on next year’s draft and reboot the roster. They will win 4-5 games at best.

NFC WEST:

Much like the NFC North, the Seahawks own this division. They are loaded all over the field and got an upgrade to their passing game acquiring Jimmy Graham from the Saints this off-season. The rich get richer. Like the NFC North, this division will be very competitive with 2 other teams competing with each other to get 2nd place in the division and a possible wild card playoff spot. Arizona Cardinals were last year’s surprised, but this season they are on everybody’s radar and won’t be taken lightly. They still have a top 10 defense and with a healthy Carson Palmer, they could hit the 10 win mark to grab a wild card spot. Chris Johnson was a good addition as well, but he isn’t the Chris Johnson of 2009, let’s just remember that before we give him the benefit of doubt.

The St. Louis Rams are much like the Vikings. Acquiring Nick Foles for Sam Bradford was like free bacon for them. They also have a top 10 defense, which is why they can stay in most games and ended up beating the Seahawks last year.  I’m very interested in how Todd Gurley is going to pan out. I believe he is better and will do better than Melvin Gordon, but it’s always hard to come back from a major knee surgery, unless of course you are Adrian Peterson, but he’s a football demi-good.

Poor 49ers. Ever since the 2013 Super Bowl loss and 2014 NFC Championship loss, the 49ers have gone spiraling in to a black hole and this off-season made it worse. They lost their head coach, a majority of their defense, and their QB regressed after giving Kaepernick a huge contract extension. Their situation is one of the worst in the entire league. With Willis and Borland retiring due to health issues, it seemed that other players lost interest and decided to do whatever they wanted.

Not much will change among the top of the NFC, but look for some upcoming teams to make a post season bid.

AFC EAST:

Could this be the year the Patriots get knocked off their throne in the AFC East? PENDING Tom Brady’s suspension ruling, the Patriots are in serious threat of starting the season down 1-3. IF no TB12, the Patriots will have 2 very tough games to start the season against the Pittsburgh Steelers and the redefined, defensive minded, Rex Ryan led Bills in week 2. They catch a break hosting the miserable Jaguars, but then head to Dallas after a bye week. If the Tom Brady’s suspension holds up, the Patriots are going to have some digging to get back on top. The benefit for them is that even starting down 1-3 or 2-2, they can win the division without a doubt, resulting in hosting a playoff game in Foxborough, where they are nearly unbeatable.

The Bills will be drawing a lot of eyes towards them this year. After a very successful defensive campaign last season, the Bills have continued right where they left off and picked up a treasure in Shady McCoy. Though they picked up McCoy and have Sammy Watkins, the Bills still are searching for a true starting QB. As of now (9/1/2015) the Bills have named Tyrod Taylor their starting QB. (WHO?) The Michael Vick like, Virginia Tech, dual threat QB, whom was drafted in the 6th round and has never started an NFL game. That Tyrod Taylor. Don’t get me wrong, the guy was awesome in college, but that obviously hasn’t transitioned into the NFL. The Bills brought in Matt Cassel to play QB and he can’t even beat out Taylor or EJ Manuel, who is my personal favorite, but obviously hasn’t made the jump to be an NFL staring QB yet. The QB position will be their Achilles heel all season, which will cost them a few games, say when they need to beat the Patriots in Foxborough week 11.

It seems like all the attention in this division has been on everybody except the Dolphins. The Dolphins made a huge splash signing Ndamaukong Suh to add to their defense. He is a top 5 player and probably the second best defensive player behind JJ Watt. He is going to upgrade an already decent Miami defense and get them closer to capturing a division title. Though no easy task knocking off the Patriots, the Dolphins have a legitimate chance of stepping up to the occasion and being crowned AFC East champs. I’ll wait to see it before I believe it though.

As for the Jets, at least they got Revis back. Signing Brandon Marshall was a good move too, but with Geno Smith their top QB, their offense will seriously struggle. Geno getting sucker punched and breaking his jaw is the epitome of the NY Jets. That sucker punch might be a blessing in disguised because now the Jets will be starting Ryan Fitzpatrick, who is the smartest QB in the league off the field, but not so much on the field. They also have the Alex Moran (Blue Mountain State reference) of the NFL with Matt Flynn in their back pocket. If it was up to me, I would have none of the above play and start Baylor sensation Bryce Petty, hopefully finding a QB for the future and not a back-up stand in while the Jets endure another painful season of losing.

UPDATE: this review was written on 9/1/2015, as of 9/3/2015 Tom Brady’s suspension was dropped. With Brady back, the Patriots have a very good chance at starting 4-0, starting with a win in Foxborough on Thursday to kick off the NFL season. Though Buffalo will be tough to be in Buffalo, the Patriots will be able to come through with a win. After a breeze against the Jaguars, they will face a true test against a playoff bound Dallas Cowboys at Dallas. No easy feat, but I have confidence that they can beat them.

AFC SOUTH:

The Colts are my pick to represent the AFC in this season’s Super Bowl. They added key guys to help solidify their run to the Super Bowl. They signed Andre Johnson and Frank Gore. 2 proven stars of the league, that have a just enough gas in them to make one more run at a championship. This is exactly what the Colts need. Andre Johnson will easily replace Reggie Wayne, barring an injury, and Frank Gore is always good to replace a non-existent running game. Their defense got help with the signing of Trent Cole, which will possibly get them over the Patriots hump from last year. Luck is the real deal and is a Super Bowl victory away from being the face of the NFL. My guess is that he will knock off both legends (Tom Brady and Peyton Manning) this season to reach the Super Bowl.

Yes, the Colts pretty much have the division locked up, but that won’t come without some battles from the second best team in the division, the Houston Texans. The Texans are featured on this year’s HBO Hard Knocks series. The Texans look hungry after taking a step back last year, due to QB issues, injuries, and other minor problems. This year, we will finally get to see the 2014 #1 pick Jadeveon Clowney play opposite of the best defensive player in the league, JJ Watt. Their defense looks promising, it’s their offense that scares me. Between Arian Foster hurting his groin and not having a solid starting QB, the Texans are going need some help on that side. I hope JJ Watt can accumulate a few pick-6s, return a few strip-sacks, and maybe even play some tight end. O wait, he did do all that. The guy is literally unstoppable and will do everything he can to help his team win. Unfortunately, even that is not enough to get the Texans to the playoffs.

I probably shouldn’t skip over the #2 pick, but the Tennessee Titans are in for another long year of rebuilding. I hope and believe Marcus Mariota is going to turn into a much more complete QB than Jameis Winston. He has looked and played better this pre-season, but with the team and talent he has, they will be lucky to win more than 4 games. Maybe next year they will get game changing defensive player. The same goes for Jacksonville. They seem to have found their franchise QB in Blake Bortles, but can’t find anyone else around him considering Justin Blackmon is M.I.A. and Julius Thomas has to sit out due to injury. I hope for the franchises sake they can grab a top pick again next year and finally get out of the gutter.

AFC NORTH:

The AFC North is always one of the most competitive divisions in the entire league and this year is no exception. The Ravens and Steelers will likely battle for the crown while the other will have to settle for a wild card spot. Did I forget the Bengals? Yes, this is the year their playoff streak ends and they save themselves the misery of getting bounced in the first round. The Steelers seem to be just an inch ahead of the Ravens due to the Ravens letting go of some key defensive players, Haloti Ngata and Pernell McPhee. They also lost their best offensive threat in Torrey Smith to the 49ers. As they have for so long, their defense can keep them in low scoring games. Which is why I think the Steelers have the advantage over them due to their potent offense and tough defense.

The down fall to the Steelers is that 2 of their stars will start the season suspended (Le’Veon Bell and Martavis Bryant) and the health of Ben Roethlisberger is always an issue. Luckily for them when they open against the Patriots, they most likely won’t have to face Tom Brady as QB. That game is going to mean a lot to that team if they can win and should win.

The Browns are still the laughing stock of this division and will be for a while. Maybe Johnny Manziel will figure it out this season. He already dropped the $ sign so maybe he is maturing. The Browns are in for another tough year. I will give them some credit for who they drafted. Danny Shelton will be a stud, Duke Johnson is a steal if he pans out, and drafting Ifo Ekpre-Olom could be the best reward of all their picks.

AFC WEST:

I’m not going to chalk up the Broncos too fast to win the division. They are going to have to earn it from the Kansas City Chiefs and San Diego Chargers. I do think the Broncos will win the division, but it won’t be as easy as the past. Peyton Manning is aging more and more. He is losing it. They also have a new head coach, Gary Kubiak. They still have a very talented offense and defense, but so do the Chiefs. My bet is that KC and Denver will split their series.

As for the Chargers, I think they will be the Charges as we have come to know. They start hot, then lose some games, then get hot again. Their inconsistency kills them. I imagine them being competitive as they usually are, but that doesn’t mean winning a division title. I can’t wait to see if Melvin Gordon will live up to the hype.

The Black Hole, aka The Oakland Raiders Stadium is exactly that for players and coaches careers. A black hole for careers to die. See ya later Christian Ponder and Trent Richardson. That has to be the saddest place in football right now. Sending the “get well soon” card as we speak.

NFC Playoffs
1. Seattle Seahawks
2. Green Bay Packers
3. Philadelphia Eagles
4. Carolina Panthers
5. Dallas Cowboys
6. Minnesota Vikings

AFC Playoffs
1. Indianapolis Colts
2. Denver Broncos
3. New England Patriots
4. Pittsburgh Steelers
5. Baltimore Ravens
6. Kansas City Chiefs

Wild Card Playoff
Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings
Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys
New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Divisional Round
NFC
#1. Seattle Seahawks vs #5. Dallas Cowboys
#2. Green Bay Packers vs #3. Philadelphia Eagles

AFC
#1. Indianapolis Colts vs #5. Baltimore Ravens
#2. Denver Broncos vs #3. New England Patriots

NFC Championship
Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers
AFC Championship
New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

SUPER BOWL
Indianapolis Colts vs Green Bay Packers

SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS
GREEN BAY PACKERS

Thursday, June 25, 2015

NBA Draft 2015 and Mock Draft

Thursday, June 25th, 2015 the 2015 NBA Draft will happen in NY. This year is headlined by 2 promising big men. Either could go #1 but it seems that Karl-Anthony Towns will most likely be selected by the MN Timberwolves as the #1 pick over Jahlil Okafor.

Earlier this year I wrote a piece about Okafor being the #1 pick and that any team that doesn't pick him would make a big mistake. I have to change my mind on that after watching Towns more closely at the end of the year. Don't get me wrong, Okafor is a lock at #1 or #2, but I believe Towns has way more versatility than Okafor has. Especially with the NBA merging into a small ball game, with a PF that can play Center because he can also switch on picks to guard other players. Okafor is a traditional big man with tremendous back to the basket skills, which the team that picks him will utilize him for. The thing is that with the transformation of the small ball game with evidence that it works, (i.e.watch NBA Finals Golden State) the traditional center is losing its value and need. Phil Jackson is not a fan of small ball and would take Okafor before Towns because he is still a believer in working the ball inside out, getting penetration, and get post touches.

It might be my Minnesota bias to why I'm changing my mind from drafting Okafor to now Towns, but I truly believe Towns has so much more potential to become a legitimate super star within a few years. To me he is the next Anthony Davis. He has all the same attributes, minus the offensive abilty that Davis has, but he has a nice mid range jump shot and a decent back to the basket game already. He is a little raw on offense, but will a little NBA help he will become a 20-10 guy within 3 years.

As for the Timberwolves, this pick is a no-brainer. Towns will fit right in with the Wolves. With the rapid development of Wiggins, a young, talented co-star like Wiggins could become one of the best duos in the league for the next 10 years! Yes, that is an optimistic thought, but a very realistic thought if Towns pans out. Having KG will also be very important for the development of Towns. KG has more wisdom than anybody left in the NBA, so for Towns to learn from him, he could become a very tough, young player early in his career. The Wolves also have a lot of assets they are willing to trade to get some more pieces to the puzzle. Possibly trading former #1 pick Anthony Bennett for a draft pick or a proven vet could really be exactly what the Wolves need. A Ricky Rubio and Pekovic package trade for the Knicks #4 pick and a little extra would not be a bad idea either because both Rubio and Pek are injury prone and take up a lot of the Wolves' salary cap.


For the rest of the draft and the reason I wanted to write this post is due to European players, particularly the buzz around Latvian prospect Kristaps Porzingis. Another year, another draft class with tall Europeans that can shoot the 3 and be a swing 4. Every year this happens and do you how many of them turn out??? Andrea Bargnani? NOPE! NONE! Dirk is the sole reason for this false sense of over excitement for tall Europeans. Because he (Dirk) was a pioneer of a big man from Europe who could knock down the 3 consistently, now every draft analysis thinks any tall European that can shoot the 3 will be the next Dirk. It literally drives me crazy. Dirk is the 1/100 European swing 4's that turns out. The rest are drafted and back in Europe within 2 maybe 3 years. Look at the tweet from Jay Bilas and try to argue against it, you CAN'T !! European big guys that can shoot are the worse fallacy in the NBA. These scouts who call themselves professions, literally are delusional to how bad European basketball is compared to the NBA and NCAA Division 1 college basketball. Until one of these draft picks proves otherwise, I will keep this opinion.

Here's a list of NBA Busts http://www.thescore.com/nba/news/783326

Here is an article that has a similar take on European players http://www.lostlettermen.com/article/what-if-frank-kaminsky-was-european

Sleepers:

Sleepers are my favorite type of draftees because nobody expects them to be great and it gives the player motivation to work hard to prove to teams they missed out on them. My biggest sleepers this year are JP Tokoto from UNC, Rakeem Christmas from Syracuse, and Anthony Brown from Stanford. Tokoto is my favorite among anyone. He is extremely athletic, long, and can defend. Limited and raw offensively, but with some NBA help he could turn into a lock down defender on a championship team, coming off the bench for energy. I would compare him to a more athletic, but not as good of shooter as Matt Barnes.


My NBA Mock Draft (1-10):

1. Minnesota Timberwolves: Karl-Anthony Towns

2. Los Angeles Lakers: Jahlil Okafor

3. Philadelphia 76ers: D'Angelo Russell

4. New York Knicks: Emmanuel Mudiay

5. Orlando Magic: Justise Winslow,

6. Sacramento Kings: Kristaps Porzingis

7. Denver Nuggets: Willey Cauley-Stein

8. Detroit Pistons: Mario Hezonja

9. Charlotte Hornets: Stanley Johnson

10. Miami Heat: Kelly Oubre


Final thoughts:

The NBA draft is a life changing event for players and teams. Some players turn out to be superstars while the majority end up having short lived NBA careers, but being drafted is an amazing accomplishment that every player that gets drafted should be proud of.

Mark my words: If Emmanuel Mudiay goes to Sacramento he will be a bust.

Trey Lyles will be an interesting pick. I see him becoming a starter within 3 years on a middle of the pack team. A lot of potential for him.

I included Oubre in the top 10 because I think he has a lot of potential to be a scorer in the league within a few years. To me he is a steal or bust.

On one mock draft, I saw 2 of the sleepers I like going to MN. Anthony Brown and Rakeem Christmas.

Next week free agency starts so I wouldn't be surprised if any of these picks were traded for some already proven players such as the Lakers trading their pick to Sacramento for DeMarcus Cousins.

Free Agents for this summer: http://www.sbnation.com/a/nba-free-agents-2015

Follow me on twitter @basketballguy61



Wednesday, June 24, 2015

NBA: Free Agency LA Lakers

Now that Kevin Love just opted out of his contract maybe we will finally see the Lakers revamp their roster before Kobe goes out.

I wrote about the Lakers landing a huge free agent last summer, but it never happened, which is why they were so bad last season. I'm hoping with all the free agents this summer LA is bound to pick up one and get back to a respectful team.

If dreams came true for LA:
1) Trade their #2 pick for DeMarcus Cousins
2) Sign Jimmy Butler
3) Sign Kevin Love or LaMarcus Adridge


OK now that probably won't happen but hopefully one of those events will.

If all 3 did happen, imagine the Lakers Roster:

C: DeMarcus Cousins
PF: Kevin Love/LaMarcus Aldridge
SF: Jimmy Butler
SG: Kobe Bryant
PG: Jordan Clarkson

Bench:
Nick Young as back up SG and legitimate scoring threat
Jeremy Lin: back up PG
Julius Randle: has yet to play, but would be in a great position to come off the bench
Ed Davis, Jordan Hill and Ryan Kelly would fight for the back up positions, but provide depth and flexibility.
Wayne Ellington: Back up SF/SG

Lakers need to get rid of Boozer.

Just remember this is a hypothetical dream scenario that has little to no chance of ever happening, but it sure would be a way to get the Lakers back to championship caliber.

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Tuesday, June 16, 2015

NBA Finals - Game 6

"When facing elimination, LeBron James averages 31.9 PPG, the highest in NBA playoff history among players with at least 5 such games in their careers. His teams are 7-7 in those games, but they’ve won 5 of the last 6." - ESPN
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What more could LeBron do tonight that he hasn't already done? He's scored 40 in 3 out of the 5 games in this series. He's had a triple double in 2 of them. If only one of his teammates could step up and carry some of the load, LeBron and the Cavs would have a much better chance of winning. Tonight is different. LeBron and the Cavs are facing elimination. Tonight will be all about Lebron James, not about how much his teammates will help. Tonight will be all about attacking every opportunity he gets. I wouldn't be surprised if LeBron surpasses the 30 point mark at halftime if he's truly playing in desperation mode.
Just like in Game 6 at Boston in 2013, LeBron will be on a mission tonight. The one thing I truly believe he's lacked effort in this series and most of the post season is his INDIVIDUAL defense. Yes, I know he's basically the Cavs' only threat on offense, thus him conserving energy on the defensive side, but tonight he is going to have to play just as hard on defense as he has been on offense if the Cavs want to stay alive. If you don't agree that he hasn't given his full effort on defense, look at the play that Harrison Barnes dunked on him on the offensive rebound putback slam. Also, watch him guard Iguodala, yes he is suppose to give him room to shoot, but his close outs are lackadaisical and effortless. He needs to take command and guard Steph Curry when Steph is starting to heat up to prevent the Warriors from going on a big run or score 17 points in the 4th quarter.

When it is all over it will come down to a win or another NBA Finals loss.

My Final thought is that LeBron will come out hungry and have a big 1st half. Although he will be gunning, I think the Warriors will stay right with the Cavs. The difference tonight will be the help of the whole team in terms of defense and making shots when called to. The 4th quarter will be the final factor as to why the Cavs win or lose and I think LeBron will take over, willing his way to force Game 7 with an incredible offensive output, but even more importantly, taking responsibility on defense, shutting down Curry.
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Here is an interesting article on Lebron's performance through the 5 games.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/lebron-james-may-go-down-as-the-greatest-loser-ever/

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